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Source: Stephen Codrington
ASIA AND THERMAL COAL: A SPECIAL REPORT
Hakim Singh, a milk seller, has a legal electricity connection,
but gets power for barely 10 hours a day. On a recent Monday he sat on the
floor, eating lentils and bread with one hand while swinging a fan with the
other to wave off the swarm of flies in the afternoon heat. His three children,
all going to school, still have to study by candlelight (Nikkei Asian
Review, 18 May 2018).
For some in western countries, assisting Hakim by expanding coal-fired
electricity production in his country (India) is a threat to the planet.
For Hakim and the Indian government, it is the passport to development.
Our Special Report
Thermal coal is the type of coal used for electricity production. Our Special Report:
- examines recent developments in electricity production and
thermal-coal use in Asia
- gives forecasts of electricity production and thermal-coal use in Asia
for the next decade
- assesses possible reasons for these forecasts not to be realised, such as a
fall in economic growth, increasing competition from natural gas and
renewables and political pressure to reduce thermal-coal use
Some key findings
Electricity production in Asia will continue to increase strongly, at
5% per year.
Electricity production per capita will
increase, but in most of Asia will still be well below that in developed
Coal-fired electricity production will
continue to dominate total production.
Thermal-coal production in Asia (notably
China and India) will increase modestly.
Thermal-coal imports from
outside the region will increase strongly, from around 350 million tonnes in
2017 to 600 million tonnes in 2027.
Australia, Russia, South Africa, United States and Colombia are
the countries best placed to meet this increased import demand, but they
all face barriers in doing so.
Overcoming these barriers will be important for the future
of millions of Asians such as Hakim Singh in India.
The Special Report is 35 pages long and includes 14 graphs, 11 tables and four
maps. The price is A$950 (approximately US$720). Please contact us for further
information on the Special Report, including the table of contents, extracts
and an order form (also on this website).